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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 16, 2026
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Judge at <0.1% (Soto 99.9%+), with $32.6K traded in total and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Judge | <0.1% | -0.4 pts | $32.6K |
| Soto | 99.9%+ | +0.4 pts | — |
Total volume $32.6K · 24h volume $1.7K · Liquidity $6.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Judge ■ Soto · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Judge at (Soto 99.9%+), with $32.6K traded in total and $1.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 16, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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