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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 12, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Reds at 89.1%, followed by Athletics at 2.9%, Chicago Cubs at 2.1%. The market has $1.30M in total volume and $229 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 89.1% | -5.1 pts | $3.1K |
| Athletics | 2.9% | +2.4 pts | $1.4K |
| Chicago Cubs | 2.1% | — | $1.8K |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $481 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0.9% | — | $557.8K |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $153.5K |
| New York Yankees | 0.5% | — | $1.6K |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.4% | — | $3.3K |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.3% | — | $1.4K |
| Washington Nationals | 0.3% | — | $698 |
| Chicago White Sox | 0.2% | — | $689 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0.2% | — | $653 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0.2% | — | $1.2K |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.2% | — | $943 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.2% | — | $759 |
15 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $1.30M · 24h volume $229 · Liquidity $25.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Cincinnati Reds ■ Athletics ■ Chicago Cubs · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Reds at 89.1%, followed by Athletics at 2.9%, Chicago Cubs at 2.1%. The market has $1.30M in total volume and $229 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 12, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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