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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 16, 2026
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Yordan Alvarez at 99.9%+, followed by Shohei Ohtani at 0.1%, José Ramírez at <0.1%. The market has $21.4K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 99.9%+ | +0.1 pts | $7.0K |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.5K |
| José Ramírez | <0.1% | — | $2.1K |
| Nick Kurtz | <0.1% | — | $1.5K |
| Juan Soto | <0.1% | — | $1.5K |
| Munetaka Murakami | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.5K |
| Ben Rice | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.3K |
| Aaron Judge | <0.1% | — | $1.2K |
| James Wood | <0.1% | — | $941 |
| Jonathan Aranda | <0.1% | — | $702 |
| Iván Herrera | <0.1% | — | $597 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | <0.1% | — | $588 |
| Mike Trout | <0.1% | — | $497 |
| Junior Caminero | <0.1% | — | $245 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | <0.1% | — | $240 |
Total volume $21.4K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $31.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yordan Alvarez ■ Shohei Ohtani ■ José Ramírez · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most intentional walks.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Yordan Alvarez at 99.9%+, followed by Shohei Ohtani at 0.1%, José Ramírez at <0.1%. The market has $21.4K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 16, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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