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Updated September 30, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 5, 2026
As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Atlanta Braves at 73.5%, followed by San Diego Padres at 55.5%, Chicago Cubs at 44.5%. The market has $20.4K in total volume and $6.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers (settled) | 100% | +2.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Milwaukee Brewers (settled) | 100% | -0.1 pts | $290 |
| Atlanta Braves | 73.5% | +19.5 pts | $7.7K |
| San Diego Padres | 55.5% | -0.5 pts | $973 |
| Chicago Cubs | 44.5% | -0.5 pts | $222 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 27% | -17.5 pts | $2.4K |
| Miami Marlins (settled) | 0.0% | -1.4 pts | $1.9K |
| St. Louis Cardinals (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| Washington Nationals (settled) | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $1.2K |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (settled) | 0.0% | -0.6 pts | $1.1K |
| New York Mets (settled) | 0.0% | -1.0 pts | $883 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks (settled) | 0.0% | -12.0 pts | $704 |
| Cincinnati Reds (settled) | 0.0% | -1.7 pts | $683 |
| San Francisco Giants (settled) | 0.0% | -24.0 pts | $98 |
| Colorado Rockies (settled) | 0.0% | — | $10 |
Total volume $20.4K · 24h volume $6.9K · Liquidity $12.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Atlanta Braves ■ San Diego Padres ■ Chicago Cubs · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the NLDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the NLDS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the NLDS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Atlanta Braves at 73.5%, followed by San Diego Padres at 55.5%, Chicago Cubs at 44.5%. The market has $20.4K in total volume and $6.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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