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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 16, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Nasim Nuñez at 90.5%, followed by Chandler Simpson at 3.6%, Randy Arozarena at 0.4%. The market has $684.9K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasim Nuñez | 90.5% | +32.0 pts | $15.3K |
| Chandler Simpson | 3.6% | -43.2 pts | $3.2K |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.4% | -1.6 pts | $862 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.4% | -3.8 pts | $1.5K |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.4% | -0.3 pts | $1.1K |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0.2% | -0.9 pts | $2.2K |
| CJ Abrams | 0.2% | -1.7 pts | $1.4K |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $777 |
| Nico Hoerner | <0.1% | — | $640.9K |
| Juan Soto | <0.1% | — | $1.9K |
| José Ramírez | <0.1% | — | $1.9K |
| Oneil Cruz | <0.1% | — | $1.8K |
| Brice Turang | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.5K |
| Jakob Marsee | <0.1% | — | $1.4K |
| José Caballero | <0.1% | — | $1.3K |
15 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $684.9K · 24h volume $1.8K · Liquidity $23.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Nasim Nuñez ■ Chandler Simpson ■ Randy Arozarena · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Nasim Nuñez at 90.5%, followed by Chandler Simpson at 3.6%, Randy Arozarena at 0.4%. The market has $684.9K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 16, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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