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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 12, 2026
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Sonny Gray at 98.9%, followed by Cristopher Sánchez at 0.5%, Eduardo Rodriguez at 0.2%. The market has $28.8K in total volume and $22.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 98.9% | +61.9 pts | $10.6K |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 0.5% | -58.5 pts | $14.7K |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.2% | -0.2 pts | $619 |
| Aaron Ashby | 0.2% | — | $445 |
| Foster Griffin | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $549 |
| Sandy Alcántara | <0.1% | — | $455 |
| Drew Rasmussen | <0.1% | -0.2 pts | $440 |
| Braxton Ashcraft | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $408 |
| Chase Burns | <0.1% | — | $308 |
| Nick Martinez | <0.1% | — | $303 |
Total volume $28.8K · 24h volume $22.6K · Liquidity $15.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Sonny Gray ■ Cristopher Sánchez ■ Eduardo Rodriguez · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve in favor of the pitcher who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most wins.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the tied pitcher with the lower earned run average (ERA) in the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the tied pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed pitcher to finish with the most wins, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no wins leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Sonny Gray at 98.9%, followed by Cristopher Sánchez at 0.5%, Eduardo Rodriguez at 0.2%. The market has $28.8K in total volume and $22.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 12, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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