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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: November 18, 2026
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is lukxo at 38.6%, followed by Timotino at 20.4%, jawgemo at 11.4%. The market has $33.0K in total volume and $18.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| lukxo | 38.6% | -0.5 pts | $835 |
| Timotino | 20.4% | +1.2 pts | $1.2K |
| jawgemo | 11.4% | -7.0 pts | $335 |
| trent | 10.8% | +3.6 pts | $195 |
| BABYBAY | 10.1% | +2.9 pts | $122 |
| Asuna | 10% | +3.5 pts | $148 |
| BuZz | 4.6% | — | $122 |
| Jamppi | 4.6% | — | $122 |
| tkzin | 4.5% | — | $122 |
| vora | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $122 |
| leaf | 4.1% | -0.2 pts | $164 |
| Cryocells | 4.0% | +1.1 pts | $262 |
| Sayonara | 3.6% | — | $175 |
| Meteor | 3.6% | -0.2 pts | $122 |
| PROFEK | 3.5% | +0.3 pts | $155 |
66 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $33.0K · 24h volume $18.2K · Liquidity $16.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ lukxo ■ Timotino ■ jawgemo · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to which player records the most first bloods across all maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. A first blood is the first kill of a round, recorded as a First Kill (FK) in the official statistics.
First bloods recorded in overtime rounds count. Only completed maps count.
If two or more players are tied for the most first bloods, this market will resolve to the player with the fewer first deaths (FD) across the entire event. If a tie persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher total kills across the entire event. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.
If a player not listed in this market records the most first bloods, this market will resolve to "Other".
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, or is postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the vlr.gg event stats page (https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026), using the FK (First Kills) column. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Esports odds · Sports odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is lukxo at 38.6%, followed by Timotino at 20.4%, jawgemo at 11.4%. The market has $33.0K in total volume and $18.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 18, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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