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Updated October 5, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 14, 2026
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Marc Marquez at 74.5%, followed by Jorge Martin at 24%, Marco Bezzecchi at 1.7%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Marquez | 74.5% | +9.0 pts | $5.0K |
| Jorge Martin | 24% | -5.5 pts | $4.2K |
| Marco Bezzecchi | 1.7% | +0.8 pts | $2.5K |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | 0.3% | -0.7 pts | $1.3K |
| Francesco Bagnaia | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $1.2K |
| Diogo Moreira | 0.1% | — | $298 |
| Brad Binder | 0.1% | — | $283 |
| Ai Ogura | <0.1% | — | $800 |
| Fermin Aldeguer | <0.1% | — | $379 |
| Raul Fernandez | <0.1% | — | $371 |
| Luca Marini | <0.1% | — | $333 |
| Alex Marquez | <0.1% | — | $294 |
| Enea Bastianini | <0.1% | — | $277 |
| Pedro Acosta | <0.1% | — | $193 |
| Fabio Quartararo (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $414 |
10 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.9K · 24h volume $2.6K · Liquidity $21.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Marc Marquez ■ Jorge Martin ■ Marco Bezzecchi · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Sports odds
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Marc Marquez at 74.5%, followed by Jorge Martin at 24%, Marco Bezzecchi at 1.7%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 14, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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