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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 4, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Arch Manning at 23.2%, followed by Sam Leavitt at 22.1%, Gunner Stockton at 4.2%. The market has $27.7K in total volume and $61 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 23.2% | +7.7 pts | $1.3K |
| Sam Leavitt | 22.1% | +0.4 pts | $1.1K |
| Gunner Stockton | 4.2% | -0.1 pts | $256 |
| Darian Mensah | 4.0% | — | $310 |
| CJ Carr | 3.8% | — | $257 |
| Devon Dampier | 3.6% | — | $1.6K |
| Josh Hoover | 3.6% | — | $546 |
| Bryce Underwood | 3.5% | — | $754 |
| Julian Sayin | 3.4% | -6.2 pts | $598 |
| Bear Bachmeier | 3.3% | — | $971 |
| Drew Mestemaker | 2.9% | — | $1.0K |
| Noah Fifita | 2.9% | -1.5 pts | $2.4K |
| Demond Williams | 2.6% | — | $488 |
| Brendan Sorsby | 1.3% | — | $2.0K |
| Jayden Maiava | 1.2% | — | $6.3K |
3 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $27.7K · 24h volume $61 · Liquidity $6.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Arch Manning ■ Sam Leavitt ■ Gunner Stockton · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing yards.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: College Football odds · Sports odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Arch Manning at 23.2%, followed by Sam Leavitt at 22.1%, Gunner Stockton at 4.2%. The market has $27.7K in total volume and $61 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 4, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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