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Updated October 25, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 19, 2026
As of October 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is New Mexico Lobos at 53%, followed by North Dakota State Bison at 25.5%, UNLV Rebels at 12%. The market has $21.1K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 53% | +5.5 pts | $15.7K |
| North Dakota State Bison | 25.5% | -4.5 pts | $2.6K |
| UNLV Rebels | 12% | +6.0 pts | $1.2K |
| Air Force Falcons | 9.0% | -0.5 pts | $689 |
| Wyoming Cowboys | 5.4% | +1.8 pts | $586 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 5.0% | +4.8 pts | $164 |
| San José State Spartans | 4.7% | +3.9 pts | $36 |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | 4.0% | +3.2 pts | $36 |
| UTEP Miners | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $72 |
| Northern Illinois Huskies | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $92 |
Total volume $21.1K · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $8.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ New Mexico Lobos ■ North Dakota State Bison ■ UNLV Rebels · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Mountain West Football Championship Game, determining the champion of the Mountain West Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026.
If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mountain West Conference (https://themw.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: College Football odds · Sports odds
As of October 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is New Mexico Lobos at 53%, followed by North Dakota State Bison at 25.5%, UNLV Rebels at 12%. The market has $21.1K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 19, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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