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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 21, 2026
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Georgia at 81.5%, followed by Notre Dame at 59.5%, Miami (FL) at 43.5%. The market has $76.3K in total volume and $2.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 81.5% | +11.5 pts | $2.3K |
| Notre Dame | 59.5% | -9.0 pts | $7.6K |
| Miami (FL) | 43.5% | -17.5 pts | $5.6K |
| Indiana | 41% | -9.5 pts | $5.7K |
| Utah | 33.1% | -1.9 pts | $930 |
| Alabama | 32% | -20.0 pts | $349 |
| Texas | 16.5% | +5.5 pts | $3.0K |
| BYU | 13% | +0.5 pts | $991 |
| Texas Tech | 8.0% | +0.5 pts | $8.1K |
| Tennessee | 7.5% | — | $682 |
| USC | 7.0% | — | $597 |
| Arizona | 6.8% | — | $40 |
| Ohio St. | 5.6% | +1.2 pts | $3.7K |
| Michigan | 4.7% | +0.1 pts | $652 |
| Kentucky | 4.6% | +0.2 pts | $160 |
35 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $76.3K · 24h volume $2.7K · Liquidity $30.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Georgia ■ Notre Dame ■ Miami (FL) · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise.
If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: College Football odds · Sports odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Georgia at 81.5%, followed by Notre Dame at 59.5%, Miami (FL) at 43.5%. The market has $76.3K in total volume and $2.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 21, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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