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Updated October 18, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 27, 2026
As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 2.5+ Wins at 89.3%, followed by 3.5+ Wins at 39%, 4.5+ Wins at 15.5%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $704 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5+ Wins | 89.3% | +0.9 pts | $708 |
| 3.5+ Wins | 39% | -13.5 pts | $10.3K |
| 4.5+ Wins | 15.5% | -8.0 pts | $2.7K |
| 5.5+ Wins | 8.0% | -1.5 pts | $3.9K |
| 6.5+ Wins | 1.4% | -0.5 pts | $2.5K |
Total volume $20.0K · 24h volume $704 · Liquidity $1.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 2.5+ Wins ■ 3.5+ Wins ■ 4.5+ Wins · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: College Football odds · Sports odds
As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 2.5+ Wins at 89.3%, followed by 3.5+ Wins at 39%, 4.5+ Wins at 15.5%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $704 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 27, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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