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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 28.5%, followed by November 30, 2026 at 8.1%. The market has $21.3K in total volume and $389 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 28.5% | +5.5 pts | $2.5K |
| November 30, 2026 | 8.1% | +0.2 pts | $2.5K |
| September 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.8K |
| August 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -1.1 pts | $3.6K |
| July 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.3K |
| June 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -1.3 pts | $2.9K |
| October 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -3.4 pts | $2.7K |
Total volume $21.3K · 24h volume $389 · Liquidity $1.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31, 2026 ■ November 30, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of this market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify, a Coinbase token sale request window must be live and actively accepting commitments.
Qualifying sales must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or any official successor page within the Coinbase app or website. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window do not qualify. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window. A request window that opens and is subsequently cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes" — post-opening outcomes including cancellation, refunds, pauses, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution. If a sale is announced but the request window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, this market resolves to "No".
The resolution source is coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, or @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X, corroborated by credible news sources.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 28.5%, followed by November 30, 2026 at 8.1%. The market has $21.3K in total volume and $389 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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