Home › Polymarket odds › Sports
Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 7, 2026
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alex de Minaur at 6.2%, followed by Taylor Fritz at 2.3%, Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.5%. The market has $179.6K in total volume and $7.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar (settled) | 100% | +47.3 pts | $31.1K |
| Frances Tiafoe (settled) | 100% | +3.5 pts | $17.7K |
| Arthur Fils (settled) | 100% | +2.1 pts | $10.9K |
| Daniil Medvedev (settled) | 100% | +1.8 pts | $7.7K |
| Flavio Cobolli (settled) | 100% | +5.3 pts | $6.5K |
| Ben Shelton (settled) | 100% | +1.6 pts | $5.7K |
| Carlos Alcaraz (settled) | 100% | +2.5 pts | $751 |
| Alex de Minaur | 6.2% | -0.8 pts | $29.5K |
| Taylor Fritz | 2.3% | +0.1 pts | $15.3K |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0.5% | — | $7.1K |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0.5% | — | $1.9K |
| Jakub Mensik | 0.5% | — | $690 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0.4% | -0.5 pts | $632 |
| Mariano Navone | 0.4% | -0.2 pts | $333 |
| Quentin Halys | 0.4% | -1.0 pts | $248 |
22 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $179.6K · 24h volume $7.8K · Liquidity $40.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alex de Minaur ■ Taylor Fritz ■ Felix Auger-Aliassime · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.
If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Tennis odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alex de Minaur at 6.2%, followed by Taylor Fritz at 2.3%, Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.5%. The market has $179.6K in total volume and $7.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 7, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify/">Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify — Polymarket odds”, November 12, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify.svg" alt="Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog