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Updated October 12, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: March 1, 2027
As of October 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Arvell Reese at 32.9%, followed by David Bailey at 26.5%, Sonny Styles at 15%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arvell Reese | 32.9% | +5.0 pts | $4.0K |
| David Bailey | 26.5% | +19.0 pts | $8.8K |
| Sonny Styles | 15% | +4.2 pts | $2.5K |
| Mansoor Delane | 9.7% | +1.3 pts | $328 |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 4.9% | +1.8 pts | $2.6K |
| Malachi Lawrence | 3.9% | — | $23 |
| Caleb Downs | 3.6% | -1.6 pts | $2.1K |
| Akheem Mesidor | 2.5% | -3.1 pts | $133 |
Total volume $20.6K · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $15.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Arvell Reese ■ David Bailey ■ Sonny Styles · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Sports odds
As of October 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Arvell Reese at 32.9%, followed by David Bailey at 26.5%, Sonny Styles at 15%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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