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Updated October 5, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: March 1, 2027
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jahmyr Gibbs at 28.5%, followed by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 17.5%, Kenneth Walker III at 17.4%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $2.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 28.5% | -1.0 pts | $5.2K |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 17.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.0K |
| Kenneth Walker III | 17.4% | +13.8 pts | $890 |
| Bijan Robinson | 10% | -2.5 pts | $1.8K |
| Jonathan Taylor | 6.2% | +1.1 pts | $226 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 5.0% | -2.5 pts | $615 |
| CeeDee Lamb | 3.6% | +0.5 pts | $232 |
| Josh Allen | 3.1% | -2.1 pts | $430 |
| James Cook III | 3.0% | +0.9 pts | $146 |
| Puka Nacua | 2.7% | -0.2 pts | $1.7K |
| Derrick Henry | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $155 |
| Christian McCaffrey | 2.5% | -0.4 pts | $128 |
| Ladd McConkey | 2.5% | -0.5 pts | $245 |
| Jalen Hurts | 2.3% | -1.6 pts | $329 |
| Saquon Barkley | 2.2% | — | $1.1K |
27 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.1K · 24h volume $2.0K · Liquidity $71.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jahmyr Gibbs ■ Jaxon Smith-Njigba ■ Kenneth Walker III · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Sports odds
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jahmyr Gibbs at 28.5%, followed by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 17.5%, Kenneth Walker III at 17.4%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $2.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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