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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 27, 2027
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Trevor Lawrence at 15%, followed by Jared Goff at 14.5%, Bryce Young at 14.3%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $594 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 15% | -4.4 pts | $2.2K |
| Jared Goff | 14.5% | +3.5 pts | $968 |
| Bryce Young | 14.3% | +6.4 pts | $706 |
| Joe Burrow | 13.5% | — | $4.9K |
| Josh Allen | 9.8% | +0.9 pts | $1.1K |
| Dak Prescott | 9.4% | -0.6 pts | $744 |
| Matthew Stafford | 9.0% | -2.0 pts | $725 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 8.8% | -3.8 pts | $799 |
| Brock Purdy | 6.5% | +0.2 pts | $726 |
| Kirk Cousins | 6.4% | -0.3 pts | $405 |
| Lamar Jackson | 5.9% | -0.9 pts | $154 |
| Tyler Shough | 3.6% | +1.8 pts | $168 |
| Caleb Williams | 3.5% | -4.9 pts | $672 |
| Jordan Love | 3.1% | -8.6 pts | $149 |
| JJ McCarthy | 3.0% | -4.1 pts | $369 |
20 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.0K · 24h volume $594 · Liquidity $17.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Trevor Lawrence ■ Jared Goff ■ Bryce Young · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Sports odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Trevor Lawrence at 15%, followed by Jared Goff at 14.5%, Bryce Young at 14.3%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $594 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 27, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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