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Resolved market · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 12, 2027
This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on By Week 13, By Week 12, By Week 18, By Week 14, By Week 10, By Week 17, By Week 11, By Week 15, By Week 16, after $24.3K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By Week 13 | 100% | +56.5 pts | $2.4K |
| By Week 12 | 100% | +76.2 pts | $2.2K |
| By Week 18 | 100% | +0.6 pts | $2.0K |
| By Week 14 | 100% | +45.6 pts | $1.5K |
| By Week 10 | 100% | +51.4 pts | $1.3K |
| By Week 17 | 100% | +13.2 pts | $515 |
| By Week 11 | 100% | +47.5 pts | $417 |
| By Week 15 | 100% | +46.8 pts | $345 |
| By Week 16 | 100% | +27.8 pts | $154 |
| By Week 3 | 0.0% | — | $3.0K |
| By Week 9 | 0.0% | — | $2.9K |
| By Week 8 | 0.0% | -1.7 pts | $2.7K |
| By Week 5 | 0.0% | -2.7 pts | $2.1K |
| By Week 2 | 0.0% | -1.1 pts | $790 |
| By Week 7 | 0.0% | -2.5 pts | $708 |
3 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $24.3K · 24h volume $60 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By Week 13 ■ By Week 12 ■ By Week 18 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through the listed week of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through the listed week, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Sports odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on By Week 13, By Week 12, By Week 18, By Week 14, By Week 10, By Week 17, By Week 11, By Week 15, By Week 16, after $24.3K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is January 12, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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