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Updated October 20, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 27, 2027
As of October 20, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Matthew Stafford at 44%, followed by C.J. Stroud at 43%, Jordan Love at 21.5%. The market has $20.7K in total volume and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 44% | -12.0 pts | $407 |
| C.J. Stroud | 43% | +1.0 pts | $1.2K |
| Jordan Love | 21.5% | +1.5 pts | $727 |
| Tyler Shough | 4.0% | — | $2.1K |
| Bryce Young | 3.9% | +1.1 pts | $251 |
| Kirk Cousins | 3.6% | -0.1 pts | $642 |
| Dak Prescott | 3.1% | — | $162 |
| Daniel Jones | 3.0% | +0.1 pts | $490 |
| Malik Willis | 3.0% | — | $70 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2.9% | — | $444 |
| Joe Burrow | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $311 |
| Sam Darnold | 2.8% | +0.2 pts | $513 |
| Josh Allen | 2.7% | — | $309 |
| Bo Nix | 2.6% | — | $430 |
| Deshaun Watson | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $292 |
18 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.7K · 24h volume $1.5K · Liquidity $6.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Matthew Stafford ■ C.J. Stroud ■ Jordan Love · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.
If two or more quarterbacks reach 2,000 passing yards within the same game, or in separate games that have the same scheduled kickoff time, the market for each such player who reaches the mark will resolve to "Yes".
If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined which quarterback first reached 2,000 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Sports odds
As of October 20, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Matthew Stafford at 44%, followed by C.J. Stroud at 43%, Jordan Love at 21.5%. The market has $20.7K in total volume and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 27, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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