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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: February 28, 2027
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Barcelona at 42.5%, followed by Paris Saint-Germain at 24.5%, Bayern Munich at 15.5%. The market has $21.7K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 42.5% | +16.0 pts | $1.5K |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 24.5% | +4.5 pts | $2.6K |
| Bayern Munich | 15.5% | -5.0 pts | $5.0K |
| Aston Villa | 7.8% | -0.4 pts | $979 |
| Real Madrid | 6.4% | -2.4 pts | $850 |
| Manchester City | 4.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K |
| Manchester United | 4.0% | +0.1 pts | $680 |
| Liverpool | 3.3% | +0.7 pts | $780 |
| Arsenal | 3.1% | -1.8 pts | $1.3K |
| Atlético Madrid | 3.0% | -0.2 pts | $502 |
| Inter Milan | 0.8% | -2.7 pts | $489 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 0.1% | — | $270 |
| Villarreal | 0.1% | — | $251 |
| RB Leipzig | 0.1% | — | $251 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.1% | — | $251 |
21 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $21.7K · 24h volume $1.1K · Liquidity $32.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Barcelona ■ Paris Saint-Germain ■ Bayern Munich · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the club that finishes the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League with the best goal differential.
Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the play-off round, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the club that scored the most total goals in the league phase. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the club that is listed first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Champions League odds · Sports odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Barcelona at 42.5%, followed by Paris Saint-Germain at 24.5%, Bayern Munich at 15.5%. The market has $21.7K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 28, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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