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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: February 28, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Paris Saint-Germain at 96.2%, followed by Real Madrid at 95%, Manchester City at 93.5%. The market has $29.2K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 96.2% | +0.9 pts | $533 |
| Real Madrid | 95% | +1.0 pts | $38 |
| Manchester City | 93.5% | +1.0 pts | $72 |
| Arsenal | 92% | — | $867 |
| Liverpool | 91.5% | +3.0 pts | $555 |
| Barcelona | 91.5% | — | $173 |
| Bayern Munich | 91.2% | -5.8 pts | $1.9K |
| Inter Milan | 78.5% | +1.5 pts | $939 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 67% | — | $246 |
| Manchester United | 61% | -1.0 pts | $691 |
| Atlético Madrid | 58% | +1.5 pts | $7.1K |
| Aston Villa | 57% | — | $1.0K |
| Sporting CP | 56.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.5K |
| Real Betis | 48.5% | — | $1.6K |
| Como | 46% | -0.5 pts | $3.8K |
19 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $29.2K · 24h volume $1.8K · Liquidity $164.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Paris Saint-Germain ■ Real Madrid ■ Manchester City · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Champions League odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Paris Saint-Germain at 96.2%, followed by Real Madrid at 95%, Manchester City at 93.5%. The market has $29.2K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 28, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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