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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: February 28, 2027
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Real Madrid at 86.8%, followed by Barcelona at 79.5%, Paris Saint-Germain at 76.5%. The market has $38.0K in total volume and $3.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 86.8% | -8.6 pts | $7.3K |
| Barcelona | 79.5% | -5.5 pts | $6.7K |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 76.5% | -11.0 pts | $633 |
| Arsenal | 74.5% | -11.0 pts | $469 |
| Liverpool | 66.5% | -1.5 pts | $275 |
| Bayern Munich | 63.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.6K |
| Manchester City | 51.5% | -2.5 pts | $538 |
| Aston Villa | 37.5% | +3.5 pts | $94 |
| Atlético Madrid | 33.5% | +0.5 pts | $86 |
| Sporting CP | 33% | +7.5 pts | $4.1K |
| Real Betis | 32.5% | +1.0 pts | $40 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 28.5% | +3.0 pts | $566 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 26% | +21.0 pts | $21 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 19% | -16.0 pts | $144 |
| Inter Milan | 15% | -6.0 pts | $1.7K |
17 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $38.0K · 24h volume $3.1K · Liquidity $40.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Real Madrid ■ Barcelona ■ Paris Saint-Germain · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered.
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Champions League odds · Sports odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Real Madrid at 86.8%, followed by Barcelona at 79.5%, Paris Saint-Germain at 76.5%. The market has $38.0K in total volume and $3.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 28, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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