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Updated October 7, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: February 28, 2027
As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Olympiacos at 64.5%, followed by TSG Hoffenheim at 60.5%, Red Bull Salzburg at 60.5%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $3.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos | 64.5% | — | $440 |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 60.5% | — | $180 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 60.5% | — | $101 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 58% | -0.5 pts | $80 |
| Milan | 57.5% | — | $20 |
| Crystal Palace | 57% | — | $140 |
| Anderlecht | 56.5% | -3.0 pts | $736 |
| Besiktas | 56.5% | — | $21 |
| Real Sociedad | 56% | -0.5 pts | $380 |
| Lyon | 55.5% | — | $393 |
| Celta Vigo | 54.5% | — | $374 |
| NEC | 49.5% | +0.5 pts | $574 |
| Sturm Graz | 49% | — | $60 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 46% | +4.0 pts | $1.0K |
| Ferencvaros | 43.5% | -18.0 pts | $307 |
17 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.2K · 24h volume $3.4K · Liquidity $25.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Olympiacos ■ TSG Hoffenheim ■ Red Bull Salzburg · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 9th through 24th, inclusive, in the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered.
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 9th through 24th in the league phase (e.g. they clinch a place in the top 8, or they are mathematically unable to finish above 25th), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Sports odds
As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Olympiacos at 64.5%, followed by TSG Hoffenheim at 60.5%, Red Bull Salzburg at 60.5%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $3.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 28, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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