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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 2, 2026
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ukraine at 42%, followed by Hungary at 31%, Northern Ireland at 14.5%. The market has $22.7K in total volume and $5.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 42% | -4.0 pts | $2.7K |
| Hungary | 31% | +5.0 pts | $14.9K |
| Northern Ireland | 14.5% | -3.5 pts | $3.0K |
| Georgia | 2.4% | -0.7 pts | $2.1K |
Total volume $22.7K · 24h volume $5.6K · Liquidity $3.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Ukraine ■ Hungary ■ Northern Ireland · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B2 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Sports odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ukraine at 42%, followed by Hungary at 31%, Northern Ireland at 14.5%. The market has $22.7K in total volume and $5.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 2, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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