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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: June 28, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Benoit Saint-Denis at 28%, followed by Mateusz Gamrot at 27.4%, Quillan Salkilld at 10.8%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benoit Saint-Denis | 28% | +1.5 pts | $1.5K |
| Mateusz Gamrot | 27.4% | +16.5 pts | $1.3K |
| Quillan Salkilld | 10.8% | +5.5 pts | $1.3K |
| Tom Nolan | 5.0% | — | $349 |
| Dan Hooker | 4.2% | -12.7 pts | $9.9K |
| Renato Moicano | 3.0% | +0.1 pts | $6.0K |
Total volume $20.5K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $2.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Benoit Saint-Denis ■ Mateusz Gamrot ■ Quillan Salkilld · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Rafael Fiziev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Rafael Fiziev is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Rafael Fiziev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: UFC odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Benoit Saint-Denis at 28%, followed by Mateusz Gamrot at 27.4%, Quillan Salkilld at 10.8%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 28, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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