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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: October 1, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 0.05 at 71.5%, followed by ↑ 3.50 at 0.8%, ↑ 20.00 at 0.5%. The market has $99.3K in total volume and $441 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 0.10 (settled) | 100% | +4.8 pts | $11.3K |
| ↓ 0.50 (settled) | 100% | +36.4 pts | $8.3K |
| ↓ 0.25 (settled) | 100% | +10.0 pts | $4.5K |
| ↓ 1.00 (settled) | 100% | — | $2.3K |
| ↓ 0.05 | 71.5% | — | $19.9K |
| ↑ 3.50 | 0.8% | +0.1 pts | $14.5K |
| ↑ 20.00 | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $2.6K |
| ↑ 5.00 | 0.4% | -0.8 pts | $18.8K |
| ↑ 10.00 | 0.4% | -0.7 pts | $12.6K |
| ↑ 7.50 | 0.4% | -0.5 pts | $4.6K |
Total volume $99.3K · 24h volume $441 · Liquidity $69.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↓ 0.05 ■ ↑ 3.50 ■ ↑ 20.00 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Kraken 1-minute candle for $LAPTOP (LAPTOP/USD) between the creation of this market and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Kraken, specifically the LAPTOP/USD "High" and "Low" prices available at:
https://pro.kraken.com/app/trade/laptop-usd
with the chart set to "1m" (one-minute candles) on the top bar.
Only the Kraken LAPTOP/USD price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Crypto Prices odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 0.05 at 71.5%, followed by ↑ 3.50 at 0.8%, ↑ 20.00 at 0.5%. The market has $99.3K in total volume and $441 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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