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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Islam/None in 2026 at 94.4%, followed by Khamzat Chimaev at 3.2%, Petr Yan at 1.5%. The market has $599.2K in total volume and $13 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Islam/None in 2026 | 94.4% | +1.8 pts | $4.2K |
| Khamzat Chimaev | 3.2% | — | $2.6K |
| Petr Yan | 1.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.0K |
| Alexander Volkanovski | 1.2% | -0.2 pts | $566.9K |
| Ilia Topuria | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $3.6K |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $5.4K |
| Tom Aspinall | 0.2% | — | $2.1K |
| Alexandre Pantoja | 0.2% | — | $1.6K |
| Dricus Du Plessis | 0.2% | — | $1.5K |
| Alex Pereira | <0.1% | — | $2.8K |
| Joshua Van | <0.1% | — | $2.3K |
| Jack Della Maddalena | <0.1% | — | $1.3K |
| Merab Dvalishvili | <0.1% | — | $1.3K |
| Max Holloway | <0.1% | — | $887 |
| Magomed Ankalaev | <0.1% | — | $718 |
Total volume $599.2K · 24h volume $13 · Liquidity $16.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Islam/None in 2026 ■ Khamzat Chimaev ■ Petr Yan · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev.
If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: UFC odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Islam/None in 2026 at 94.4%, followed by Khamzat Chimaev at 3.2%, Petr Yan at 1.5%. The market has $599.2K in total volume and $13 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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