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Updated October 2, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 1, 2026
As of October 2, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Team Heretics at 99.5%, followed by Fnatic at 99.2%, Hanwha Life Esports at 91%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $490 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing JDG Esports (settled) | 100% | +24.1 pts | $603 |
| BILIBILI GAMING (settled) | 100% | +44.5 pts | $452 |
| Team Heretics | 99.5% | +6.8 pts | $538 |
| Fnatic | 99.2% | — | $876 |
| Hanwha Life Esports | 91% | -0.5 pts | $2.5K |
| GIANTX | 90% | — | $1.4K |
| Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS | 87.5% | +0.5 pts | $670 |
| DN SOOPers | 87% | -1.0 pts | $1.2K |
| WeiboGaming | 86.5% | — | $524 |
| THUNDER TALK GAMING | 86.5% | — | $398 |
| SK Gaming | 80% | +6.0 pts | $211 |
| NONGSHIM RED FORCE | 76% | -2.5 pts | $605 |
| Natus Vincere | 74% | — | $141 |
| RED Canids | 73.5% | -5.5 pts | $199 |
| HANJIN BRION | 73.5% | — | $120 |
30 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.9K · 24h volume $490 · Liquidity $3.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Team Heretics ■ Fnatic ■ Hanwha Life Esports · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.
A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Esports odds · Sports odds
As of October 2, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Team Heretics at 99.5%, followed by Fnatic at 99.2%, Hanwha Life Esports at 91%. The market has $20.9K in total volume and $490 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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