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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Ulberg at 89.5%, followed by Magomed Ankalaev at 4.2%, Alex Pereira at 1.9%. The market has $1.01M in total volume and $232 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Ulberg | 89.5% | +1.0 pts | $10.0K |
| Magomed Ankalaev | 4.2% | -0.2 pts | $35.6K |
| Alex Pereira | 1.9% | +0.7 pts | $17.7K |
| Jiří Procházka | 0.8% | -0.1 pts | $426.4K |
| Bogdan Guskov | 0.8% | — | $264.8K |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0.8% | — | $144.3K |
| Volkan Oezdemir | 0.7% | — | $36.6K |
| Nikita Krylov | 0.7% | — | $693 |
| Jan Błachowicz | 0.4% | — | $1.4K |
| Dominick Reyes | 0.2% | — | $8.3K |
| Jamahal Hill | 0.1% | — | $59.6K |
| Azamat Murzakanov | 0.1% | — | $2.1K |
Total volume $1.01M · 24h volume $232 · Liquidity $9.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Carlos Ulberg ■ Magomed Ankalaev ■ Alex Pereira · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: UFC odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Ulberg at 89.5%, followed by Magomed Ankalaev at 4.2%, Alex Pereira at 1.9%. The market has $1.01M in total volume and $232 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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