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Updated October 19, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 15, 2027
As of October 19, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 99.8% (No 0.2%), with $38.2K traded in total and $38.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.8% | +52.3 pts | $38.2K |
| No | 0.2% | -52.3 pts | — |
Total volume $38.2K · 24h volume $38.2K · Liquidity $3.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Esports odds · Sports odds
As of October 19, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 99.8% (No 0.2%), with $38.2K traded in total and $38.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 15, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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