Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Odds: Yes 5.5%

Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027

Current odds

Total volume $233.8K · 24h volume $106 · Liquidity $8.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

How this market resolves

Outcome	Probability	24h change	Volume
Yes	5.5%	+0.5 pts	$233.8K
No	94.5%	-0.5 pts	—

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively.

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 5.5% (No 94.5%), with $233.8K traded in total and $106 in the last 24 hours.

When does the Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31 market end?

The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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Polymarket View, “Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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