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Updated September 25, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 22, 2026
As of September 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 1.6% (No 98.4%), with $306.3K traded in total and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.6% | +0.1 pts | $306.3K |
| No | 98.4% | -0.1 pts | — |
Total volume $306.3K · 24h volume $1.1K · Liquidity $8.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NBA odds · Sports odds
As of September 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 1.6% (No 98.4%), with $306.3K traded in total and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 22, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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