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Updated October 20, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 20, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 52.5% (No 47.5%), with $23.5K traded in total and $10.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | +23.0 pts | $23.5K |
| No | 47.5% | -23.0 pts | — |
Total volume $23.5K · 24h volume $10.8K · Liquidity $9.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City FC is officially relegated from the English Premier League following the 2026-27 season, or is expelled from the Premier League by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Relegation or expulsion for any reason will count, including as a result of points deductions or other sanctions imposed in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case). An expulsion will count once it is officially imposed and announced, regardless of whether it is later appealed or overturned.
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is not completed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", unless Manchester City FC has been expelled by that date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Premier League odds · Sports odds
As of October 20, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 52.5% (No 47.5%), with $23.5K traded in total and $10.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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