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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 9.4% (No 90.6%), with $31.4K traded in total and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9.4% | +8.0 pts | $31.4K |
| No | 90.6% | -8.0 pts | — |
Total volume $31.4K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $636. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Verstappen officially announces his retirement from Formula 1 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Max Verstappen is retiring from Formula 1 racing. The announcement must come from Max Verstappen himself or his official representatives.
The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or prior to the start of the next season following the announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Max Verstappen; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 9.4% (No 90.6%), with $31.4K traded in total and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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