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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 84%. The market has $1.21M in total volume and $130 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31 | 84% | +9.0 pts | $37.8K |
| By March 31 (settled) | 0.0% | +0.1 pts | $1.00M |
| By June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $173.1K |
Total volume $1.21M · 24h volume $130 · Liquidity $1.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.
An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 84%. The market has $1.21M in total volume and $130 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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