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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 2026 at 13.5%, followed by September 30 2026 at 0.2%. The market has $215.5K in total volume and $445 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 2026 | 13.5% | — | $32.3K |
| September 30 2026 | 0.2% | — | $57.5K |
| March 31 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $59.2K |
| December 31 2025 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $35.6K |
| June 30 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $30.9K |
Total volume $215.5K · 24h volume $445 · Liquidity $5.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31 2026 ■ September 30 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Token Launches & FDV odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 2026 at 13.5%, followed by September 30 2026 at 0.2%. The market has $215.5K in total volume and $445 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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