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Updated September 25, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 95%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 81.6%, September 30, 2026 at 17.9%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 95% | +0.4 pts | $1.7K |
| December 31, 2026 | 81.6% | +0.4 pts | $6.1K |
| September 30, 2026 | 17.9% | +1.1 pts | $12.2K |
Total volume $20.0K · 24h volume $1.4K · Liquidity $4.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ June 30, 2027 ■ December 31, 2026 ■ September 30, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ritual officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Ritual will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ritual (https://x.com/ritualnet), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Token Launches & FDV odds
As of September 25, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 95%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 81.6%, September 30, 2026 at 17.9%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $1.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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