Final Result and Market Settlement
Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
The corresponding Polymarket YES outcome settled at 100.0%. The winner event recorded about $4328.0M in cumulative market volume.
A settled 100% outcome is a resolution record, not a pre-match forecast or an available entry price. Historical prices may have differed materially during the tournament.
Golden Boot Market Result
Kylian Mbappe was the uniquely settled YES outcome at 100.0%.
Tournament Timeline
How to Use This Archive
- Use the settled outcome to verify how the event resolved, not as evidence that earlier prices were certain.
- Compare archived analysis with the actual bracket path and late injury or lineup information.
- For future events, check liquidity, spread, and written resolution rules before interpreting a probability.
For the underlying mechanics, read how prediction-market odds work and the prediction-market accuracy guide.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This page is a frozen post-event archive of the resolved Polymarket winner market.
What did the World Cup winner market settle at?
The Spain YES outcome settled at 100.0%. A settled 100% outcome records the resolution; it is not a live forecast.
Are the odds on this page still live?
No. Live polling, the countdown, and changing favorite cards were removed after the event resolved. The archive is intentionally frozen for historical reference.
Who won the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot market?
The archived Golden Boot market settled on Kylian Mbappe. This records the market result after resolution rather than a live price.