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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 9.8%, followed by September 30, 2026 at 0.5%. The market has $10.27M in total volume and $8.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 9.8% | -1.9 pts | $1.82M |
| September 30, 2026 | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $1.52M |
| March 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $3.93M |
| June 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.01M |
Total volume $10.27M · 24h volume $8.0K · Liquidity $204.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31, 2026 ■ September 30, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Bitcoin odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 9.8%, followed by September 30, 2026 at 0.5%. The market has $10.27M in total volume and $8.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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