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Bitcoin Odds on Polymarket
Updated September 23, 2026 · 82 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Bitcoin price targets, monthly and yearly highs and lows, and daily price markets. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Bitcoin markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| What price will Bitcoin hit in September? | ↓ 82,500 65.5% | +24.0 pts | $800.7K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? | ↑ 90,000 73% | -8.5 pts | $432.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on September 24? | 72,000 99.9%+ | +0.4 pts | $194.6K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit on September 23? | ↓ 83,000 23.1% | — | $161.6K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit September 21-27? | ↓ 82,000 42% | +19.5 pts | $147.4K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on September 25? | 72,000 99.8% | +0.4 pts | $106.8K | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on September 26? | 72,000 99.7% | +0.1 pts | $87.4K | Sep 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on September 28? | 76,000 98.2% | -0.3 pts | $59.9K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on September 27? | 70,000 99.6% | -0.1 pts | $23.2K | Sep 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin price on September 24? | 84,000-86,000 45.6% | +16.4 pts | $20.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin price on September 25? | 84,000-86,000 35% | +10.5 pts | $14.5K | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes 3.5% | +0.4 pts | $10.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Bitcoin all time high by ___? | December 31, 2026 9.8% | -1.9 pts | $8.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| STRC hits $100 by… | December 31 83% | — | $7.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Bitcoin price on September 26? | 84,000-86,000 30.5% | +6.0 pts | $4.9K | Sep 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin price on September 27? | 84,000-86,000 28.5% | +5.5 pts | $4.2K | Sep 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin above ___ on September 29? | 76,000 97.3% | — | $3.8K | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin price on September 28? | 82,000-84,000 23% | +10.0 pts | $3.7K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | S&P 500 53.5% | — | $2.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? | Up 48.5% | — | $1.3K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $100k? | by December 31, 2027 84% | -2.5 pts | $1.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Bitcoin best month in 2026? | August 83.5% | -0.5 pts | $689 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes 5.0% | -1.0 pts | $458 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Beyond Meat 9.0% | -1.0 pts | $390 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k? | by December 31, 2027 37.5% | -3.0 pts | $344 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3PM ET | Up 50% | — | $240 | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2PM ET | Up 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $174 | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5PM ET | Up 50% | — | $159 | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $105 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes 46% | +1.0 pts | $96 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Bitcoin price on September 29? | 82,000-84,000 21% | — | $89 | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4PM ET | Up 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $86 | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ET | Up 50% | — | $56 | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7PM ET | Up 50% | — | $56 | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6PM ET | Up 50% | — | $51 | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET | Up 50% | — | $29 | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4AM ET | Up 50% | — | $25 | Sep 24, 2026 |
| US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___? | December 31, 2027 38% | +1.5 pts | $20 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Up 50.5% | — | $11 | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6AM ET | Up 50% | — | $10 | Sep 24, 2026 |
42 smaller markets are not shown; all 82 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Bitcoin odds on Polymarket today?
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 82 live Bitcoin markets with $2.10M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is What price will Bitcoin hit in September? (↓ 82,500 65.5%), followed by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? (↑ 90,000 73%), Bitcoin above ___ on September 24? (72,000 99.9%+).
How many Bitcoin markets are open on Polymarket?
82 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Use this data
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