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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is August at 82.5%, followed by October at 10.3%, December at 5.5%. The market has $854.8K in total volume and $6.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| August | 82.5% | -0.9 pts | $30.2K |
| October | 10.3% | +5.9 pts | $29.5K |
| December | 5.5% | -0.5 pts | $39.4K |
| November | 3.4% | -2.2 pts | $38.1K |
| September | 2.2% | -2.1 pts | $25.1K |
| January (settled) | 0.0% | — | $503.3K |
| March (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $56.2K |
| April (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $49.3K |
| February (settled) | 0.0% | — | $26.9K |
| June (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $26.9K |
| May (settled) | 0.0% | — | $20.4K |
| July (settled) | 0.0% | -4.0 pts | $9.6K |
Total volume $854.8K · 24h volume $6.1K · Liquidity $34.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ August ■ October ■ December · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.
The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.
The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.
Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Bitcoin odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is August at 82.5%, followed by October at 10.3%, December at 5.5%. The market has $854.8K in total volume and $6.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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