Home › Polymarket odds › Crypto

First to list tokenized stocks in the US? — Polymarket Odds

Updated October 1, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2028

As of October 1, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Robinhood at 33.5%, followed by Kraken at 29.5%, No listing by December 31, 2027 at 17.5%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $873 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Robinhood33.5%
—$3.0K
Kraken29.5%
+3.0 pts$5.9K
No listing by December 31, 202717.5%
—$1.4K
Gemini8.5%
+4.0 pts$948
Coinbase8.0%
+3.0 pts$9.3K

Total volume $20.5K · 24h volume $873 · Liquidity $7.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 18Oct 1

■ Robinhood ■ Kraken ■ No listing by December 31, 2027 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027".

A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count.

Tokenized stocks are available on a platform when customers holding a U.S. account with that platform are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on that platform, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the platform's app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify.

If two or more listed platforms qualify on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the platform whose tokenized stocks became purchasable first; if that order cannot be established, to the platform that first publicly confirmed availability.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the platforms; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

As of October 1, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Robinhood at 33.5%, followed by Kraken at 29.5%, No listing by December 31, 2027 at 17.5%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $873 in the last 24 hours.

When does the First to list tokenized stocks in the US market end?

The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

Use this data

Embed these odds

Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed

<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="First to list tokenized stocks in the US? odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us/">First to list tokenized stocks in the US? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>

Free JSON API

/api/v1/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.

Cite this page

Polymarket View, “First to list tokenized stocks in the US? — Polymarket odds”, October 1, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Image badge

For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:

[![First to list tokenized stocks in the US? odds on Polymarket](https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us.svg)](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us/)

HTML:

<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/first-to-list-tokenized-stocks-in-the-us.svg" alt="First to list tokenized stocks in the US? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>

Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog