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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: November 16, 2026
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 72,000 at 45.5%, followed by ↑ 76,000 at 35.5%, ↓ 70,000 at 15.5%. The market has $564.4K in total volume and $302.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 74,000 (settled) | 100% | — | $28.6K |
| ↓ 74,000 (settled) | 100% | — | $21.1K |
| ↑ 74,000 (settled) | 100% | — | $765 |
| ↓ 72,000 | 45.5% | -10.0 pts | $56.2K |
| ↑ 76,000 | 35.5% | -10.5 pts | $44.1K |
| ↓ 70,000 | 15.5% | -8.0 pts | $20.4K |
| ↑ 78,000 | 10.5% | -7.0 pts | $28.3K |
| ↓ 68,000 | 6.5% | -2.0 pts | $43.1K |
| ↑ 80,000 | 3.2% | -3.3 pts | $26.2K |
| ↓ 66,000 | 2.3% | -1.7 pts | $55.4K |
| ↑ 82,000 | 1.8% | -0.5 pts | $59.9K |
| ↑ 84,000 | 1.1% | +0.1 pts | $46.9K |
| ↓ 64,000 | 1.1% | -0.2 pts | $40.0K |
| ↑ 86,000 | 1.1% | +0.5 pts | $20.8K |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $15.2K |
2 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $564.4K · 24h volume $302.7K · Liquidity $743.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↓ 72,000 ■ ↑ 76,000 ■ ↓ 70,000 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Bitcoin odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 72,000 at 45.5%, followed by ↑ 76,000 at 35.5%, ↓ 70,000 at 15.5%. The market has $564.4K in total volume and $302.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 16, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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