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Updated October 27, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 31, 2026
As of October 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Pau Cubarsi at 94.2%, followed by Desire Doue at 3.0%, Yan Diomande at 2.8%. The market has $21.5K in total volume and $3.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Cubarsi | 94.2% | -1.1 pts | $6.9K |
| Desire Doue | 3.0% | -0.2 pts | $1.8K |
| Yan Diomande | 2.8% | +2.8 pts | $390 |
| Arda Guler | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $998 |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | 0.4% | -0.2 pts | $1.4K |
| Estevao | <0.1% | -0.2 pts | $644 |
| Gianluca Prestianni | <0.1% | -0.2 pts | $608 |
| Endrick | <0.1% | — | $565 |
| Antonio Nusa | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $527 |
| Leny Yoro | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $517 |
| Ethan Nwaneri | <0.1% | — | $502 |
| Rayan | <0.1% | — | $489 |
| Rodrigo Mora | <0.1% | — | $475 |
| Jobe Bellingham | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $468 |
| Geovany Quenda | <0.1% | -0.3 pts | $461 |
18 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $21.5K · 24h volume $3.5K · Liquidity $69.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Pau Cubarsi ■ Desire Doue ■ Yan Diomande · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Golden Boy award winner.
If no 2026 Golden Boy award winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tuttosport. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Pau Cubarsi at 94.2%, followed by Desire Doue at 3.0%, Yan Diomande at 2.8%. The market has $21.5K in total volume and $3.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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