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Awards Odds on Polymarket

Updated September 23, 2026 · 91 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 91 live Awards markets with $648.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 (Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 14.2%), followed by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 58.1%), VMA Best Latin 2026 (Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 40.5%).

Award shows: the Oscars, Grammys, Emmys and other ceremonies. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Awards markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 14.2%+0.9 pts$353.0KApr 1, 2027
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Harry Kane 58.1%+2.0 pts$166.6KJan 1, 2027
VMA Best Latin 2026Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 40.5%-0.5 pts$19.9KSep 28, 2026
VMA Best Dance 2026Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 43.5%+1.0 pts$13.4KSep 28, 2026
VMA Video of the Year 2026The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 54.5%+2.0 pts$10.3KSep 28, 2026
Pro Football: 2026 MVP WinnerJosh Allen 30%-2.0 pts$9.1KMar 1, 2027
VMA Best Alternative 2026The Cure (Olivia Rodrigo) 69%+14.5 pts$7.1KSep 28, 2026
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026Harry Kane 92.2%+0.5 pts$6.2KJan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerThe Odyssey 48.5%+4.0 pts$4.9KJul 1, 2027
Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026Harry Kane 97.2%-0.8 pts$4.4KJan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actress WinnerJulianne Moore 65.5%-3.0 pts$4.1KJul 1, 2027
VMA Artist of the Year 2026Taylor Swift 48%+2.5 pts$3.9KSep 28, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actor WinnerJohn Malkovich 39.5%-0.1 pts$3.1KJul 1, 2027
VMA Best Collaboration 2026Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress) 55.5%+11.5 pts$3.0KSep 28, 2026
CMA Musician of the Year 2026Paul Franklin 47%+16.0 pts$2.6KNov 19, 2026
CMA Music Video of the Year 2026Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 49%+5.0 pts$2.5KNov 19, 2026
WNBA: 2026 Coach of the YearCheryl Reeve 83.5%+6.0 pts$2.2KOct 8, 2026
MLB: NL Manager of the YearPat Murphy 82.8%+4.0 pts$2.2KJan 1, 2027
MLB: AL Rookie of the YearKevin McGonigle 91%+1.0 pts$2.1KJan 1, 2027
VMA Best R&B 2026I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 59.5%+3.0 pts$1.9KSep 28, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor WinnerPaul Giamatti 39.5%-6.5 pts$1.6KJul 1, 2027
CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen) 43.5%—$1.6KNov 19, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling WinnerClayface 22.4%+14.8 pts$1.6KJul 1, 2027
CMA Male Vocalist of the Year 2026Cody Johnson 47.5%+8.0 pts$1.5KNov 19, 2026
MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron WinnerYordan Alvarez 96.6%-0.7 pts$1.5KJan 1, 2027
VMA Best Pop 2026The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 61%-0.5 pts$1.3KSep 28, 2026
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron WinnerPete Crow-Armstrong 96.7%-0.1 pts$1.2KJan 1, 2027
VMA Best Country 2026Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 84.5%—$1.2KSep 28, 2026
VMA Best Visual Effects 2026Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 41.5%-5.0 pts$1.2KSep 28, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score WinnerThe Odyssey 44%-1.5 pts$962Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film WinnerWildwood 47.5%-6.5 pts$879Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor NominationsMatt Damon 91.3%-0.1 pts$810Mar 15, 2027
Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open WinnerChinedu Obiekea 39%-0.5 pts$727Sep 26, 2026
MLB: NL Rookie of the YearSal Stewart 93%+1.0 pts$721Jan 1, 2027
CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026Ella Langley 76.5%+2.0 pts$680Nov 19, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture NominationsThe Odyssey 99.8%—$665Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay WinnerThe Invite 31.5%+3.0 pts$611Jul 1, 2027
The Game Awards: Game of the YearGrand Theft Auto VI 70.5%+3.0 pts$580Jan 1, 2027
CMA Album of the Year 2026Dandelion (Ella Langley) 55.5%+1.0 pts$519Nov 19, 2026
The Game Awards: Best Mobile GameArknights: Endfield 36.5%+7.0 pts$518Jan 1, 2027

51 smaller markets are not shown; all 91 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Awards odds on Polymarket today?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 91 live Awards markets with $648.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 (Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 14.2%), followed by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 58.1%), VMA Best Latin 2026 (Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 40.5%).

How many Awards markets are open on Polymarket?

91 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

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<p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/awards/">Awards odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>

Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/awards.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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