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Updated October 10, 2026 · 93 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC, Polymarket lists 93 live Awards markets with $649.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 61%), followed by Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 (Harry Kane 97%), Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 (Harry Kane 98.1%).
Award shows: the Oscars, Grammys, Emmys and other ceremonies. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 | Harry Kane 61% | +4.7 pts | $549.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 | Harry Kane 97% | +0.8 pts | $15.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 | Harry Kane 98.1% | — | $13.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Mbappé 47% | +11.5 pts | $13.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026 | Ariel Pakes 19.5% | -1.5 pts | $10.3K | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | The Odyssey 83.5% | — | $8.8K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Golden Boy 2026 Winner | Pau Cubarsi 97.9% | +1.1 pts | $4.9K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026 | Lamine Yamal 99.5% | -0.1 pts | $4.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| NFL: 2026 MVP Winner | Josh Allen 20.5% | -1.0 pts | $3.3K | Mar 1, 2027 |
| MLB: 2026 NL Gold Glove Winners | Pete Crow-Armstrong 99.9% | +0.1 pts | $2.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner | The Odyssey 51.5% | — | $2.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner | Lionel Messi 80.8% | — | $1.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner | the cure - Olivia Rodrigo 34.8% | +14.5 pts | $1.9K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| NHL Ted Lindsay Award Winner | Ilya Sorokin 21.9% | +18.1 pts | $1.8K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations | The Odyssey 99.8% | — | $1.6K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner | Wildwood 57.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.4K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner | Christopher Nolan 62% | — | $1.4K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | Rodri 44.5% | +11.0 pts | $1.2K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Grammys 2027: Record of the Year Winner | Man I Need - Olivia Dean 37.5% | — | $1.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| MLB: AL Rookie of the Year | Kevin McGonigle 93.5% | -0.4 pts | $1.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Turner Prize 2026 Winner | Tanoa Sasraku 40.5% | +0.5 pts | $919 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner | Macklin Celebrini 30% | +11.0 pts | $645 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations | Matt Damon 93.7% | — | $613 | Mar 15, 2027 |
| MLB: NL Rookie of the Year | Sal Stewart 73.6% | +0.9 pts | $579 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| The Game Awards: Game of the Year | Grand Theft Auto VI 66.5% | +0.5 pts | $500 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner | Werwulf 28.9% | +0.1 pts | $382 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner | Paul Giamatti 26.5% | -2.5 pts | $379 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| MLB: NL Manager of the Year | Pat Murphy 75.8% | +5.5 pts | $324 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| The Game Awards: Best Multiplayer | Deadlock 18.6% | +0.6 pts | $323 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner | The Odyssey 61.5% | — | $320 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year | Yordan Alvarez 88% | -4.0 pts | $241 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner | Ella Langley 59.5% | — | $212 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination? | Yes 8.0% | -4.5 pts | $209 | Jan 21, 2027 |
| Women's Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026 | Alexia Putellas 99.5% | +2.5 pts | $203 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| MLB: 2026 AL MVP | Yordan Alvarez 95.2% | +0.4 pts | $187 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| The Game Awards: Best Narrative | Grand Theft Auto VI 33% | -4.0 pts | $160 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner | John Malkovich 39.5% | -0.9 pts | $155 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| The Game Awards: Best Independent Game | Big Walk 38.2% | +0.4 pts | $126 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner | The Odyssey 40.5% | — | $121 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| UEFA Champions League: Most Player of the Match Awards 2026-27 | Kylian Mbappé 16.5% | — | $114 | Jun 19, 2027 |
53 smaller markets are not shown; all 93 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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Javier Milei · Wild Horse Nine · Bruno Mars · Taylor Swift · Ariana Grande · Tom Holland · Robert Pattinson · Matt Damon · Timothee Chalamet · Tom Cruise · Andrew Scott
Movies & Box Office (80) · Music (68) · Celebrities & Creators (84) · Pop Culture (96)
As of October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC, Polymarket lists 93 live Awards markets with $649.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 61%), followed by Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 (Harry Kane 97%), Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 (Harry Kane 98.1%).
93 live markets as of October 10, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/awards/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Awards odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/awards/">Awards odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/awards.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “Awards odds on Polymarket”, October 10, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/awards/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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