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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 2.2%. The market has $3.14M in total volume and $40 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2026 | 2.2% | — | $2.78M |
| By December 31, 2025 (settled) | 0.0% | -1.3 pts | $299.4K |
| By March 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | +0.1 pts | $54.1K |
Total volume $3.14M · 24h volume $40 · Liquidity $35.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 2.2%. The market has $3.14M in total volume and $40 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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