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Updated September 23, 2026 · 110 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 110 live Trump markets with $3.66M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Fed Decision in October? (25 bps increase 67.5%), followed by US announces end of Iranian blockade? (By December 31 61.9%), Will Xi Jinping visit US? (By December 31 99.9%+).
Donald Trump's presidency: policy decisions, statements, appointments, court cases and approval. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in October? | 25 bps increase 67.5% | +17.0 pts | $1.02M | Oct 29, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade? | By December 31 61.9% | -3.0 pts | $546.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US? | By December 31 99.9%+ | +0.1 pts | $320.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues? | Through September 25 97.4% | +0.4 pts | $265.0K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 68% | -2.5 pts | $126.8K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes 6.2% | +0.2 pts | $120.8K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Nicolás Maduro 59.2% | +5.0 pts | $115.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | Yes 23.5% | -27.0 pts | $112.9K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash? | By December 31 31.5% | -1.0 pts | $109.1K | Jan 3, 2027 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14.5% | -1.0 pts | $108.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? | Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani 80.5% | +69.0 pts | $106.4K | Jun 23, 2027 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? | Yes 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $73.1K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement? | By December 31, 2027 72.5% | +1.0 pts | $70.0K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes 1.9% | -1.2 pts | $39.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| US-Yemen ceasefire continues? | Through September 22 98.5% | -0.7 pts | $34.6K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Maduro Prison Time? | No prison time 54.5% | -2.0 pts | $34.4K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70.5% | +3.0 pts | $31.5K | Dec 10, 2026 |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House? | By October 31 97.4% | +7.9 pts | $30.8K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? | No meeting before 2027 93% | -0.5 pts | $26.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement? | By September 30 7.2% | +1.6 pts | $23.3K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement? | By October 31 34% | +1.0 pts | $23.2K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| How long will Trump and Xi shake hands? | 15s+ 40% | +24.5 pts | $17.1K | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Putin? | By December 31 73.5% | -0.5 pts | $16.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Who will Trump meet with in 2026? | Vladimir Putin 72.5% | -4.0 pts | $15.5K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2.6% | -0.2 pts | $14.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place? | USA 42% | — | $14.0K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico? | By December 31 9.5% | — | $13.8K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | December 31 91% | -1.5 pts | $12.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Who will be arrested before 2027? | John Brennan 20% | -9.0 pts | $12.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? | Yes 0.1% | -3.1 pts | $11.6K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting? | By December 31, 2026 87% | — | $11.5K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland? | By December 31 11.5% | — | $10.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| María Corina Machado enters Venezuela? | By December 31 41.5% | — | $10.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? | Yes 5.0% | -9.5 pts | $9.6K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? | China 5+ times 58% | — | $8.0K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 39.5% | +1.5 pts | $7.7K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Who will Trump meet with in September? | Volodymyr Zelenskyy 99.7% | -0.1 pts | $7.3K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? | Below 4.6% 31% | -13.5 pts | $7.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 18 - September 25, 2026? | 80-99 42.8% | +22.6 pts | $6.6K | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30? | Yes 5.1% | -19.9 pts | $6.5K | Oct 1, 2026 |
70 smaller markets are not shown; all 110 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 110 live Trump markets with $3.66M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Fed Decision in October? (25 bps increase 67.5%), followed by US announces end of Iranian blockade? (By December 31 61.9%), Will Xi Jinping visit US? (By December 31 99.9%+).
110 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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