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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 16, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at 86%, followed by Tanner Bibee at 83.9%, Wilyer Abreu at 81%. The market has $25.7K in total volume and $12.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 86% | -1.0 pts | $98 |
| Tanner Bibee | 83.9% | +1.5 pts | $399 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 81% | — | $160 |
| Caleb Durbin | 73.5% | -8.0 pts | $80 |
| Chase Meidroth | 66% | +5.5 pts | $853 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 64% | +2.0 pts | $428 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 59% | -27.0 pts | $160 |
| Christian Walker | 28% | +5.5 pts | $1.4K |
| Ezequiel Duran | 27.5% | +1.5 pts | $220 |
| Cody Bellinger | 25.5% | -61.0 pts | $1.8K |
| Cole Young | 24% | +9.0 pts | $803 |
| Dillon Dingler | 21.5% | -0.5 pts | $140 |
| Chandler Simpson | 19.5% | +6.5 pts | $202 |
| Jacob deGrom | 19.5% | — | $42 |
| Zach McKinstry | 19% | -15.5 pts | $1.4K |
28 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $25.7K · 24h volume $12.1K · Liquidity $2.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ■ Tanner Bibee ■ Wilyer Abreu · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the American League at any position, including the utility award. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no official 2026 American League Rawlings Gold Glove Award winners are announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rawlings and Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Awards odds · Sports odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at 86%, followed by Tanner Bibee at 83.9%, Wilyer Abreu at 81%. The market has $25.7K in total volume and $12.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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