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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Yordan Alvarez at 96.7%, followed by Nick Kurtz at 2.2%, Cal Raleigh at 2.1%. The market has $421.0K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 96.7% | +0.1 pts | $9.0K |
| Nick Kurtz | 2.2% | +0.5 pts | $1.8K |
| Cal Raleigh | 2.1% | +0.6 pts | $4.1K |
| José Ramírez | 1.5% | +0.3 pts | $760 |
| Julio Rodríguez | 0.9% | — | $325 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.8% | — | $846 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $423 |
| Junior Caminero | 0.5% | — | $151 |
| Ben Rice | 0.5% | — | $101 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5% | — | $101 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $576 |
| Corey Seager | 0.4% | — | $397.7K |
| Aaron Judge | 0.2% | — | $5.1K |
Total volume $421.0K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $24.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yordan Alvarez ■ Nick Kurtz ■ Cal Raleigh · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Awards odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Yordan Alvarez at 96.7%, followed by Nick Kurtz at 2.2%, Cal Raleigh at 2.1%. The market has $421.0K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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