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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Pat Murphy at 79.2%, followed by Walt Weiss at 18.5%, Rob Thomson at 0.7%. The market has $179.3K in total volume and $918 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Murphy | 79.2% | -2.1 pts | $19.9K |
| Walt Weiss | 18.5% | +2.5 pts | $31.9K |
| Rob Thomson | 0.7% | +0.5 pts | $57.1K |
| Don Kelly | 0.7% | — | $1.5K |
| Craig Stammen | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $1.9K |
| Andy Green | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $99 |
| Clayton McCullough | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $6.9K |
| Torey Lovullo | 0.6% | — | $2.2K |
| Carlos Mendoza | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $22.9K |
| Blake Butera | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $4.0K |
| Don Mattingly | 0.4% | — | $98 |
| Oliver Marmol | 0.3% | — | $15.9K |
| Warren Schaeffer | <0.1% | — | $5.1K |
| Terry Francona | <0.1% | — | $4.0K |
| Tony Vitello | <0.1% | — | $2.3K |
2 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $179.3K · 24h volume $918 · Liquidity $30.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Pat Murphy ■ Walt Weiss ■ Rob Thomson · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Awards odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Pat Murphy at 79.2%, followed by Walt Weiss at 18.5%, Rob Thomson at 0.7%. The market has $179.3K in total volume and $918 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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